Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 12.284775 14.095890 16.031359 18.247922 20.710296 23.355905 26.407306
2025-10-05 9.946597 12.424261 15.252921 18.699110 22.760727 27.371395 32.975746
2025-10-12 8.469869 11.291516 14.677973 18.996598 24.308467 30.577421 38.479649
2025-10-19 7.321515 10.328871 14.096545 19.090018 25.453037 33.204269 43.264604
2025-10-26 6.201214 9.231192 13.183417 18.611242 25.753856 34.705618 46.628844
2025-11-02 5.346287 8.368164 12.459622 18.263794 26.125555 36.230188 49.998229
2025-11-09 4.629702 7.605295 11.779967 17.885424 26.380019 37.553546 53.095578
2025-11-16 4.042589 6.957665 11.188828 17.557254 26.641803 38.848894 56.151898
2025-11-23 3.487186 6.291656 10.503404 17.025435 26.559229 39.637364 58.514008
2025-11-30 3.167871 5.957509 10.273254 17.121898 27.343636 41.612075 62.521765
2025-12-07 2.878637 5.638807 10.034406 17.176334 28.049763 43.480669 66.419239
2025-12-14 2.654319 5.403663 9.902532 17.374082 28.959152 45.649698 70.784342
2025-12-21 2.405668 5.103300 9.646428 17.366775 29.567224 47.419941 74.664475
2025-12-28 2.264256 4.980172 9.670234 17.799765 30.857355 50.218541 80.098797
2026-01-04 2.110701 4.816841 9.610169 18.085460 31.920396 52.704112 85.136181
2026-01-11 1.940480 4.601993 9.441737 18.175184 32.667981 54.729494 89.540125
2026-01-18 1.706355 4.232590 8.968157 17.715382 32.504865 55.356102 91.865249
2026-01-25 1.515889 3.928375 8.585484 17.381758 32.519759 56.239724 94.581416
2026-02-01 1.342480 3.637879 8.202481 17.018495 32.459172 56.989890 97.097898
2026-02-08 1.193458 3.381147 7.860878 16.703472 32.456208 57.817408 99.739275
2026-02-15 1.039733 3.092030 7.429574 16.193052 32.088492 58.039716 101.430861
2026-02-22 0.961843 2.972029 7.326987 16.285625 32.761445 59.948985 105.804719
2026-03-01 0.886937 2.849352 7.208212 16.337868 33.360486 61.748211 110.040085